Stabilizing Myanmar: Building the Conditions for a Settlement

Abstract

A policy brief on how regional and external actors can help create the conditions for a negotiated settlement in Myanmar. Its central argument is that the conflict is not yet 'ripe' for negotiation — the actors who would have to sign do not yet see a reason to. The immediate task is therefore not to table a peace plan but to shape the humanitarian, economic, diplomatic, and institutional conditions under which negotiation becomes the rational choice, while preparing the settlement architecture as the destination rather than the opening move.

This brief is published here in summary.